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Red75
169923.4
462822.3
17331.3
Blue84
512914.5
216836.1
83935.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73862040601001201401601807584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#23
31.30.1
29.629.8
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
blue by 4.8
2168
#16
36.10.2
31.331.2
Auto9.4
Teleop20.8
End5.8
Second
1699
#19
23.40.1
23.924.0
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End3.4
blue by 12.0
839
#3
35.40.2
37.637.4
Auto8.2
Teleop22.4
End4.8
Third
4628
#34
22.30.1
19.519.6
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End3.6
red by 7.9
5129
#39
14.50.2
12.712.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed