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Red94
17331.3
23735.2
346427.6
Blue97
99932.2
363422.9
112435.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90850501502002503003504009497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#17
35.20.5
31.131.5
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
blue by 0.5
1124
#20
35.70.9
33.534.4
Auto12.0
Teleop20.6
End3.0
Second
173
#23
31.30.5
29.830.2
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
blue by 0.9
999
#4
32.20.9
30.531.4
Auto8.7
Teleop17.8
End5.7
Third
3464
#21
27.60.5
26.026.5
Auto10.9
Teleop11.8
End4.8
red by 4.6
3634
#32
22.90.9
19.420.3
Auto5.3
Teleop14.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed