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Red89
310420.6
346131.9
57124.4
Blue121
17538.0
574625.8
199128.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6789020408010012014016089121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#31
31.91.0
30.631.7
Auto10.6
Teleop17.2
End4.2
blue by 6.0
175
#11
38.02.2
32.935.1
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End8.0
Second
571
#33
24.41.0
23.024.0
Auto10.7
Teleop11.4
End2.3
blue by 3.8
1991
#29
28.22.2
30.332.4
Auto9.0
Teleop14.1
End5.0
Third
3104
#13
20.61.0
14.915.9
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
blue by 5.1
5746
#12
25.82.2
20.122.3
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned