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Red115
174021.6
19556.5
462822.3
Blue75
112435.7
217026.5
199128.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions889605015020011575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
56.51.9
50.752.5
Auto12.1
Teleop37.6
End6.9
red by 20.9
1124
#20
35.71.1
35.734.6
Auto12.0
Teleop20.6
End3.0
Second
4628
#34
22.31.9
19.020.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End3.6
blue by 5.8
1991
#29
28.21.1
31.630.4
Auto9.0
Teleop14.1
End5.0
Third
1740
#37
21.61.9
17.219.0
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End2.6
blue by 4.9
2170
#10
26.51.1
24.723.5
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed