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Red77
278529.0
83935.4
498714.0
Blue89
457223.3
310420.6
216836.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82690501001507789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#3
35.40.1
36.536.4
Auto8.2
Teleop22.4
End4.8
blue by 0.7
2168
#16
36.11.3
31.332.7
Auto9.4
Teleop20.8
End5.8
Second
2785
#18
29.00.1
27.727.7
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End4.5
red by 5.7
4572
#27
23.31.3
21.422.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Third
4987
#40
14.00.1
13.713.6
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End2.1
blue by 6.7
3104
#13
20.61.3
16.617.9
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned