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Red88
18134.6
314630.9
462822.3
Blue83
17640.2
346427.6
57124.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84940501508883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#15
34.60.3
34.334.6
Auto9.8
Teleop18.9
End5.9
blue by 5.6
176
#14
40.20.5
38.538.0
Auto9.0
Teleop24.7
End6.6
Second
3146
#24
30.90.3
28.128.4
Auto7.7
Teleop18.3
End4.9
red by 3.4
3464
#21
27.60.5
27.326.9
Auto10.9
Teleop11.8
End4.8
Third
4628
#34
22.30.3
20.921.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End3.6
blue by 2.1
571
#33
24.40.5
24.123.6
Auto10.7
Teleop11.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed