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Red108
55840.9
99932.2
217026.5
Blue101
112435.7
346131.9
17538.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9810950150200108101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#8
40.90.2
38.838.5
Auto8.6
Teleop27.5
End4.7
red by 2.9
175
#11
38.00.2
37.637.4
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End8.0
Second
999
#4
32.20.2
32.532.2
Auto8.7
Teleop17.8
End5.7
blue by 3.5
1124
#20
35.70.2
35.435.2
Auto12.0
Teleop20.6
End3.0
Third
2170
#10
26.50.2
25.425.1
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End5.7
blue by 5.4
3461
#31
31.90.2
31.631.4
Auto10.6
Teleop17.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed