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Red105
363422.9
55840.9
174021.6
Blue109
17640.2
310420.6
314630.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81894060100120140160105109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#8
40.91.3
38.539.8
Auto8.6
Teleop27.5
End4.7
red by 0.6
176
#14
40.21.5
38.039.6
Auto9.0
Teleop24.7
End6.6
Second
3634
#32
22.91.3
22.523.8
Auto5.3
Teleop14.9
End2.8
blue by 8.0
3146
#24
30.91.5
29.330.8
Auto7.7
Teleop18.3
End4.9
Third
1740
#37
21.61.3
19.320.6
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End2.6
red by 1.0
3104
#13
20.61.5
18.620.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed