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Red101
216836.1
514219.4
109933.1
Blue105
23629.2
23735.2
217026.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8586406080100120101105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#16
36.11.2
33.534.7
Auto9.4
Teleop20.8
End5.8
red by 0.9
237
#17
35.21.4
31.332.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
Second
33.11.2
31.833.0
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End5.1
red by 3.9
236
#22
29.21.4
27.028.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.7
End5.9
Third
5142
#38
19.41.2
17.218.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End2.1
blue by 7.2
2170
#10
26.51.4
25.126.6
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed