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Red83
18134.6
17331.3
365418.6
Blue91
278529.0
99932.2
568627.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86914060801001201408391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#15
34.60.1
36.136.0
Auto9.8
Teleop18.9
End5.9
red by 2.4
999
#4
32.20.2
32.332.5
Auto8.7
Teleop17.8
End5.7
Second
173
#23
31.30.1
30.530.4
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
red by 2.3
2785
#18
29.00.2
28.528.7
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End4.5
Third
3654
#28
18.60.1
18.017.9
Auto1.4
Teleop14.3
End2.9
blue by 8.9
27.50.2
27.227.4
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned