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Red73
498714.0
346131.9
346427.6
Blue97
17738.7
15537.0
457223.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7098204060801201401601807397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#31
31.90.3
31.831.5
Auto10.6
Teleop17.2
End4.2
blue by 6.8
177
#6
38.70.4
34.935.3
Auto10.1
Teleop23.1
End5.5
Second
3464
#21
27.60.3
26.926.6
Auto10.9
Teleop11.8
End4.8
blue by 9.4
155
#26
37.00.4
33.634.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.1
End7.9
Third
4987
#40
14.00.3
13.313.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.5
End2.1
blue by 9.3
4572
#27
23.30.4
22.623.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsMissed92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed