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Red78
199128.2
455725.1
405531.3
Blue104
83935.4
17538.0
371822.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8410120406012014016078104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.4
32.131.7
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End5.3
blue by 6.7
175
#11
38.00.8
37.436.6
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End8.0
Second
1991
#29
28.20.4
27.627.2
Auto9.0
Teleop14.1
End5.0
blue by 7.2
839
#3
35.40.8
36.435.6
Auto8.2
Teleop22.4
End4.8
Third
4557
#25
25.10.4
24.323.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End2.9
red by 3.0
3718
#35
22.10.8
21.620.8
Auto3.1
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsMissed