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Red98
585622.3
57124.4
112435.7
Blue122
574625.8
19556.5
169923.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781105010015020098122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1124
#20
35.70.8
35.236.0
Auto12.0
Teleop20.6
End3.0
blue by 20.9
195
#1
56.51.0
54.955.8
Auto12.1
Teleop37.6
End6.9
Second
571
#33
24.40.8
23.324.1
Auto10.7
Teleop11.4
End2.3
blue by 1.4
5746
#12
25.81.0
24.525.5
Auto7.8
Teleop13.9
End4.0
Third
5856
#30
22.30.8
22.423.2
Auto7.4
Teleop11.1
End3.8
blue by 1.0
1699
#19
23.41.0
22.723.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned