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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Connecticut State Championship
Red170
55852.7
19568.9
217026.5
Blue118
206747.3
199127.5
206437.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196136050100250300350170118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
68.90.0
68.9→68.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 21.6
2067
#14
47.30.0
47.3→47.3
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End4.3
Second
558
#6
52.70.0
52.7→52.7
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
red by 15.0
2064
#25
37.70.0
37.7→37.7
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
Third
2170
#24
26.50.0
26.5→26.5
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End5.7
blue by 0.9
1991
#12
27.50.0
27.5→27.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0