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Semifinal 1-12016 Connecticut State Championship
Red170
55852.7
19568.9
217026.5
Blue131
17645.5
22836.7
169931.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19514350100250300350170131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
68.90.0
68.9→68.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 23.4
176
#16
45.50.0
45.5→45.5
Auto7.8
Teleop28.1
End9.6
Second
558
#6
52.70.0
52.7→52.7
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
red by 15.9
228
#7
36.70.0
36.7→36.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Third
2170
#24
26.50.0
26.5→26.5
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End5.7
blue by 5.0
1699
#23
31.60.0
31.6→31.6
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.4