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Red40
217026.5
199127.5
365418.6
Blue117
17820.0
22836.7
17745.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6811105010015020025040117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
#12
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0
blue by 17.8
177
#3
45.20.0
45.245.2
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
Second
2170
#24
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End5.7
blue by 10.2
228
#7
36.70.0
36.736.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Third
3654
#26
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto1.4
Teleop14.3
End2.9
blue by 1.4
178
#10
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds18%Capture odds