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Qual 192016 Connecticut State Championship
Red123
17645.5
18135.5
15534.9
Blue140
99936.9
112446.9
23735.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11912350100150200250123140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#16
45.50.0
45.5→45.5
Auto7.8
Teleop28.1
End9.6
blue by 1.3
1124
#4
46.90.0
46.9→46.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
Second
181
#15
35.50.0
35.5→35.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
blue by 1.4
999
#9
36.90.0
36.9→36.9
Auto13.2
Teleop17.7
End6.0
Third
155
#19
34.90.0
34.9→34.9
Auto9.4
Teleop17.7
End7.8
blue by 0.3
237
#13
35.20.0
35.2→35.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
71%Capture odds35%Capture odds