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Qual 282016 Connecticut State Championship
Red102
15534.9
206437.7
405537.6
Blue112
55852.7
22836.7
283622.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11311650100150200102112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2064
#25
37.70.0
37.7→37.7
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
blue by 15.0
558
#6
52.70.0
52.7→52.7
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End11.5
Second
4055
#5
37.60.0
37.6→37.6
Auto10.6
Teleop21.0
End6.0
red by 0.8
228
#7
36.70.0
36.7→36.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Third
155
#19
34.90.0
34.9→34.9
Auto9.4
Teleop17.7
End7.8
red by 12.0
2836
#17
22.90.0
22.9→22.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
55%Capture odds26%Capture odds