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Qual 292016 Connecticut State Championship
Red71
17820.0
314630.9
17331.3
Blue135
17745.2
99936.9
109939.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7613405010015020025071135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#11
31.30.0
31.3→31.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
blue by 13.9
177
#3
45.20.0
45.2→45.2
Auto13.6
Teleop24.4
End7.2
Second
3146
#20
30.90.0
30.9→30.9
Auto7.7
Teleop18.3
End4.9
blue by 8.8
1099
#8
39.80.0
39.8→39.8
Auto9.6
Teleop21.4
End8.7
Third
178
#10
20.00.0
20.0→20.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End3.3
blue by 17.0
999
#9
36.90.0
36.9→36.9
Auto13.2
Teleop17.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds80%Capture odds