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Red125
206747.3
23062.8
112446.9
Blue156
199127.5
23735.2
19568.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167130050100200250300350400125156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#18
62.80.0
62.862.8
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
blue by 6.1
195
#1
68.90.0
68.968.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Second
2067
#14
47.30.0
47.347.3
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End4.3
red by 12.1
237
#13
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
Third
46.90.0
46.946.9
Auto9.8
Teleop26.4
End10.6
red by 19.4
1991
#12
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
81%Capture odds26%Capture odds