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Red116
371926.1
216844.0
22836.7
Blue80
169931.6
18135.5
283622.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1148905015020025030011680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
red by 8.5
181
#15
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.3
End5.5
Second
228
#7
36.70.0
36.736.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
red by 5.2
1699
#23
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.4
Third
3719
#22
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
red by 3.2
2836
#17
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds82%Breach odds
Capture
13%Capture odds18%Capture odds