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Red96
22836.7
17331.3
199127.5
Blue77
371926.1
107121.7
99936.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101850501502002503009677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#7
36.70.0
36.736.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
blue by 0.2
999
#9
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto13.2
Teleop17.7
End6.0
Second
173
#11
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.3
End4.5
red by 5.2
3719
#22
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Third
1991
#12
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End4.0
red by 5.8
1071
#21
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds79%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds4%Capture odds