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Red86
283622.9
19568.9
217026.5
Blue79
109939.8
17645.5
169931.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122120501001502002508679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
68.90.0
68.968.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
red by 23.4
176
#16
45.50.0
45.545.5
Auto7.8
Teleop28.1
End9.6
Second
2170
#24
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End5.7
blue by 13.2
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto9.6
Teleop21.4
End8.7
Third
2836
#17
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End5.7
blue by 8.7
1699
#23
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds70%Capture odds