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Red123
109939.8
216844.0
23735.2
Blue76
206437.7
23062.8
371926.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12113205010020025030035040012376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto14.0
Teleop23.7
End6.4
blue by 18.8
230
#18
62.80.0
62.862.8
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
Second
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto9.6
Teleop21.4
End8.7
red by 2.1
2064
#25
37.70.0
37.737.7
Auto13.5
Teleop13.7
End10.4
Third
237
#13
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End9.8
red by 9.1
3719
#22
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
34%Capture odds29%Capture odds