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Qual 92016 Connecticut State Championship
Red76
99936.9
283622.9
17820.0
Blue95
206747.3
107121.7
19568.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701540501002002503003504007695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#9
36.90.0
36.9→36.9
Auto13.2
Teleop17.7
End6.0
blue by 32.0
195
#1
68.90.0
68.9→68.9
Auto20.3
Teleop37.8
End10.8
Second
2836
#17
22.90.0
22.9→22.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End5.7
blue by 24.4
2067
#14
47.30.0
47.3→47.3
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End4.3
Third
178
#10
20.00.0
20.0→20.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End3.3
blue by 1.7
1071
#21
21.70.0
21.7→21.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds49%Capture odds