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Qual 122016 CowTown ThrowDown
Red49
348517.4
173043.8
641915.6
Blue77
193928.2
144420.4
181019.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81690501001502004977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#14
43.80.0
43.8→43.8
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
red by 15.6
1939
#18
28.20.0
28.2→28.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End5.6
Second
3485
#42
17.40.0
17.4→17.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End0.8
blue by 3.1
1444
#26
20.40.0
20.4→20.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.0
End4.6
Third
6419
#49
15.60.0
15.6→15.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 4.2
1810
#44
19.90.0
19.9→19.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach odds82%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds1%Capture odds