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Red75
172329.7
198228.4
596813.0
Blue76
392834.9
438831.2
500631.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671070501502002503003507576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End6.8
blue by 5.2
3928
#40
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End4.9
Second
1982
#33
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End4.7
blue by 3.5
5006
#30
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End4.9
Third
5968
#46
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto7.8
Teleop4.8
End0.4
blue by 18.2
4388
#21
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds14%Capture odds