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Red61
43215.6
580921.5
110834.6
Blue103
176932.3
198652.5
464632.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64131010015020025030061103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1108
#13
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto9.2
Teleop20.5
End4.9
blue by 17.9
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto16.0
Teleop28.6
End7.8
Second
5809
#45
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 11.3
4646
#15
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.6
Third
432
#25
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 16.6
1769
#11
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds16%Capture odds