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Red48
198421.1
181019.9
511929.8
Blue50
43215.6
177539.2
464632.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions699402004006008001,0001,2004850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5119
#43
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.9
End5.5
blue by 9.4
1775
#32
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto11.5
Teleop19.1
End8.6
Second
1984
#48
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End4.8
blue by 11.7
4646
#15
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.6
Third
1810
#44
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End2.8
red by 4.2
432
#25
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds15%Capture odds