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Red82
641915.6
176932.3
233522.3
Blue78
198736.6
171033.4
392834.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6511502003004005008278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1769
#11
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End5.3
blue by 4.4
1987
#19
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.2
Second
2335
#34
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End5.0
blue by 12.6
3928
#40
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End4.9
Third
6419
#49
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 17.7
1710
#36
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds25%Capture odds