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Red57
233522.3
642415.6
580921.5
Blue89
580128.2
511929.8
235722.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568801502002503003504005789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2335
#34
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End5.0
blue by 7.5
5119
#43
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.9
End5.5
Second
5809
#45
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 6.7
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End5.9
Third
6424
#50
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 7.3
2357
#17
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds0%Capture odds