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Red76
641915.6
328437.8
591818.5
Blue120
43215.6
198532.4
256021.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7571020406010012014076120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
red by 5.4
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End6.7
Second
5918
#39
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.8
blue by 3.2
2560
#41
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Third
6419
#49
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Level
432
#25
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach odds75%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds0%Capture odds