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Qual 342016 CowTown ThrowDown
Red99
445521.3
193928.2
464632.8
Blue103
172329.7
438831.2
235722.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86856070809010011099103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#15
32.80.0
32.8→32.8
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.6
red by 1.5
4388
#21
31.20.0
31.2→31.2
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Second
1939
#18
28.20.0
28.2→28.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End5.6
blue by 1.5
1723
#6
29.70.0
29.7→29.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End6.8
Third
4455
#23
21.30.0
21.3→21.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 1.7
2357
#17
22.90.0
22.9→22.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds2%Capture odds