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Red55
199421.1
580921.5
180213.7
Blue102
43215.6
198736.6
173043.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49107015020025030035055102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5809
#45
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 22.3
1730
#14
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
Second
1994
#47
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End4.5
blue by 15.5
1987
#19
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.2
Third
1802
#38
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 1.9
432
#25
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds3%Capture odds