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Red110
432930.2
328437.8
198532.4
Blue60
177723.9
176324.6
642415.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11158015020025011060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
red by 13.3
1763
#35
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.8
End4.7
Second
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End6.7
red by 8.5
1777
#27
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End5.1
Third
4329
#20
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
red by 14.6
6424
#50
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds54%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds1%Capture odds