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Red89
176932.3
198421.1
176426.3
Blue99
432930.2
184720.4
193928.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82816070901001108999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1769
#11
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End5.3
red by 2.1
4329
#20
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
Second
1764
#28
26.30.0
26.326.3
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End4.9
blue by 2.0
1939
#18
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End5.6
Third
1984
#48
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End4.8
red by 0.7
1847
#10
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds5%Capture odds