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Red106
438831.2
180213.7
393741.3
Blue64
641915.6
64827.4
501328.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions927005015020025010664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.0
41.341.3
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
red by 13.2
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End4.3
Second
4388
#21
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End3.9
red by 3.8
648
#12
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto10.5
Teleop10.4
End6.5
Third
1802
#38
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 1.9
6419
#49
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds1%Capture odds