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Red105
176324.6
198736.6
198228.4
Blue100
144420.4
52546.2
43215.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9483050150200105100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#19
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.2
blue by 9.6
525
#22
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
Second
1982
#33
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End4.7
red by 8.0
1444
#26
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.0
End4.6
Third
1763
#35
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.8
End4.7
red by 8.9
432
#25
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds1%Capture odds