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Red131
198652.5
110834.6
199421.1
Blue55
642415.6
181019.9
178534.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1206405010015020025013155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto16.0
Teleop28.6
End7.8
red by 17.8
1785
#29
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto12.8
Teleop14.8
End7.1
Second
1108
#13
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto9.2
Teleop20.5
End4.9
red by 14.7
1810
#44
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End2.8
Third
1994
#47
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End4.5
red by 5.5
6424
#50
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds70%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds0%Capture odds