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Red111
352831.7
171033.4
180653.3
Blue77
241029.8
642415.6
198228.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1316605010015020025011177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.0
53.353.3
Auto13.8
Teleop35.1
End4.4
red by 23.5
2410
#31
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto6.8
Teleop17.6
End5.4
Second
1710
#36
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
red by 4.9
1982
#33
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.4
Teleop14.3
End4.7
Third
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End4.7
red by 16.1
6424
#50
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds72%Breach odds
Capture
29%Capture odds1%Capture odds