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Red83
432930.2
181019.9
64827.4
Blue73
109434.7
233522.3
392834.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77980501502002503008373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#20
30.20.0
30.230.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.9
End2.4
blue by 4.7
3928
#40
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop20.6
End4.9
Second
648
#12
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto10.5
Teleop10.4
End6.5
blue by 7.3
1094
#16
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto10.8
Teleop13.8
End10.1
Third
1810
#44
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End2.8
blue by 2.4
2335
#34
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds83%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds2%Capture odds