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Qual 642016 CowTown ThrowDown
Red98
580128.2
500631.9
464632.8
Blue94
180213.7
176932.3
328437.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98840501502009894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#15
32.80.0
32.8→32.8
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.6
blue by 5.1
3284
#2
37.80.0
37.8→37.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
Second
5006
#30
31.90.0
31.9→31.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End4.9
blue by 0.3
1769
#11
32.30.0
32.3→32.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End5.3
Third
5801
#9
28.20.0
28.2→28.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End5.9
red by 14.5
1802
#38
13.70.0
13.7→13.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds2%Capture odds