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Red112
173043.8
198652.5
198532.4
Blue85
52546.2
177539.2
256021.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13710605015020025011285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto16.0
Teleop28.6
End7.8
red by 6.3
525
#22
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
Second
1730
#14
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
red by 4.6
1775
#32
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto11.5
Teleop19.1
End8.6
Third
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End6.7
red by 10.7
2560
#41
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
10%Capture odds16%Capture odds