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Red122
328437.8
352831.7
193928.2
Blue68
580921.5
64827.4
596813.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10856015020012268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End6.2
red by 10.4
648
#12
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto10.5
Teleop10.4
End6.5
Second
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto10.0
Teleop17.0
End4.7
red by 10.2
5809
#45
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Third
1939
#18
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End5.6
red by 15.2
5968
#46
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto7.8
Teleop4.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds40%Breach odds
Capture
8%Capture odds1%Capture odds