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Red97
110834.6
109434.7
580128.2
Blue96
445521.3
641915.6
52546.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103820501502009796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1094
#16
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto10.8
Teleop13.8
End10.1
blue by 11.5
525
#22
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
Second
1108
#13
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto9.2
Teleop20.5
End4.9
red by 13.3
4455
#23
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Third
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.6
End5.9
red by 12.5
6419
#49
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds75%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds