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Red50
15522.8
17627.3
363417.9
Blue59
99925.2
278521.5
22820.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73670501001502005059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#8
27.32.2
25.022.8
Auto8.0
Teleop15.8
End3.5
red by 2.1
999
#10
25.21.3
25.424.0
Auto6.2
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Second
155
#7
22.82.2
25.623.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 1.3
2785
#23
21.51.3
18.617.2
Auto8.0
Teleop10.1
End3.3
Third
3634
#24
17.92.2
19.217.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End2.2
blue by 2.6
228
#34
20.51.3
22.120.8
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed49%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed