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Red67
17730.6
23622.3
331433.6
Blue15
512912.4
352519.1
378015.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835202040601001201401606715

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.61.0
25.224.2
Auto10.4
Teleop18.1
End5.1
red by 14.6
3525
#29
19.14.5
22.117.6
Auto8.3
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Second
177
#3
30.61.0
23.922.8
Auto7.7
Teleop18.8
End4.2
red by 15.1
3780
#22DQ
15.54.5
15.210.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Third
236
#11
22.31.0
27.126.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End3.5
red by 9.9
5129
#33
12.44.5
18.013.6
Auto1.2
Teleop8.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed