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Red49
107120.2
371816.1
15522.8
Blue47
352519.1
457218.3
455719.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5545020801001204947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#7
22.80.4
23.623.2
Auto6.5
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 2.9
4557
#20
19.90.2
15.816.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Second
1071
#30
20.20.4
13.212.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.9
End2.5
red by 1.1
3525
#29
19.10.2
13.213.4
Auto8.3
Teleop9.4
End1.4
Third
3718
#31
16.10.4
15.515.2
Auto2.6
Teleop10.7
End2.8
blue by 2.2
4572
#15
18.30.2
16.316.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed