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Red12
378015.5
17730.6
283621.5
Blue60
99925.2
31047.6
34824.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53660204060801001201260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#3
30.64.6
24.920.3
Auto7.7
Teleop18.8
End4.2
red by 5.4
999
#10
25.21.4
24.623.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Second
2836
#12
21.54.6
20.716.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.6
End6.2
blue by 3.0
348
#6
24.51.4
22.821.5
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End3.7
Third
3780
#22
15.54.6
7.93.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End0.7
red by 7.9
3104
#36
7.61.4
14.813.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed