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Red57
22820.5
462817.7
31047.6
Blue67
405524.9
371917.7
512912.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455802040801005767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#34
20.50.5
18.418.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End2.6
blue by 4.4
4055
#13
24.91.1
23.524.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.8
End3.4
Second
4628
#28
17.70.5
18.519.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.8
End3.3
Level
3719
#32
17.71.1
17.518.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Third
3104
#36
7.60.5
8.99.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 4.8
5129
#33
12.41.1
13.514.6
Auto1.2
Teleop8.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed